Quant Signals — signed, verifiable

Doctrine-governed quant engine · every signal & backtest ships a DSSE-signed receipt, re-verified server-side against a pinned key on every request.

Pinned engine key 5c6cf59741ade920 (env A11OY_QUANT_ENGINE_KEYID) — verification runs server-side, per request.
A VERIFIED badge proves INTEGRITY + ORIGIN only — that the receipt was signed by the pinned engine key and not tampered with. It is never a claim of accuracy or profitability. Λ is Conjecture 1 (open), never a theorem.

Autonomous receipt ledger (szl-holdings/szl-quant@ledger)

Appended every ~6 hours by szl-quant's scheduled-paper CI job: paper session → DSSE-sign → independent re-verify → hash-chain seal. GitHub cron is best-effort: gaps mean runs did not fire — the ledger MEASURES what happened, promises nothing.

MEASURED from the ledger tree at fetch time: 27 run(s) recorded · 273 file(s) · latest run 20260719T135816Z_run28 (started 2026-07-19T13:58:16Z UTC, from the run-dir name)
Chain tip signature is verified here, server-side; the FULL chain is independently walked in CI on every append. Walk it yourself:
node verify/verify.mjs --pubkey keys/engine_pubkey.json --chain ledger/
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/$WIF/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
asset$WIF
chainsolana
proposedActionHOLD
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.1934663944259375
blockedByliquidity

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "hMVeupYn2h0LxHySCuE35ByOPvCLOTpM6afpfibX3nHKKbzpwFvqQUReuscPBivD60QvcfzVBuBtUyXbHiXVCw=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "EKpQGSJtjMFqKZ9KQanSqYXRcF8fBopzLHYxdM65zcjm",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "$WIF"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "liquidity"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": -0.047697020208719354
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.4343396802737124
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -0.8617926149413504
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.7030350468665951
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.1934663944259375,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496084,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 6,
            "spent": 2,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 6/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 107197.42,
            "minLiquidityUsd": 250000
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "pool liquidity $107197 < floor $250000",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.6518990364889448,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 65.2% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 6,
        "spent": 2
      },
      "proposedAction": "HOLD",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 107197.42,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 0.1527,
        "volume24hUsd": 30872.18
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "5e2c21e0d9f904e60ef521d082102659ab4aec21b587f90586e2453d13745a95"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/$WIF/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/Bonk/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetBonk
chainsolana
proposedActionHOLD
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.1661612106061678
blockedByliquidity

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "wXnDJChBlneatEpnazn6IrKk+Ys+LLwiMZasM9GXPShbpBNWYaKtZ38F369ElzRked6dEZtMQHRJ2mHKoeo6Dw=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "DezXAZ8z7PnrnRJjz3wXBoRgixCa6xjnB7YaB1pPB263",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "Bonk"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "liquidity"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": -0.3554173291967371
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.2168882056436829
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -2.1108664269185393
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.8919548603628562
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.1661612106061678,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496084,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 7,
            "spent": 1,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 7/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 64415.9,
            "minLiquidityUsd": 250000
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "pool liquidity $64416 < floor $250000",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.9994867505223187,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 99.9% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 7,
        "spent": 1
      },
      "proposedAction": "HOLD",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 64415.9,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 2.89e-06,
        "volume24hUsd": 2294483.96
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "b15bec242186c8f6e808214074c61df8979fda9ca9dc0bd95713a34681ef5ba1"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/Bonk/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/JTO/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetJTO
chainsolana
proposedActionHOLD
verdictALLOWED
conviction0.19680347877820842

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "bDSpRdI0/ZwO7HazhgJyHWPTNciKrmU8xf5jMYNEsVUDrqLqf+Hyym1MLJAYE5WTltv5OPHQvDz04SwASgBSAA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "jtojtomepa8beP8AuQc6eXt5FriJwfFMwQx2v2f9mCL",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "JTO"
      },
      "blockedBy": [],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": -0.14362146998784342
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.3890336925074504
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -1.5591406867877806
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.8262300125480612
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.19680347877820842,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496084,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 2,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#2",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496087,
                "index": 3,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#3",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 4,
            "spent": 4,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 4/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 1448071.32,
            "volume24hUsd": 106461.9
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 1.148810651974371,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 114.9% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 4,
        "spent": 4
      },
      "proposedAction": "HOLD",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 1448071.32,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 0.5548,
        "volume24hUsd": 106461.9
      },
      "verdict": "ALLOWED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "041023661a253a3a39457c4c277a15f47a02659f2459e3e04350a8c33de1f4b6"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/JTO/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/JUP/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetJUP
chainsolana
proposedActionHOLD
verdictALLOWED
conviction0.1964138225271378

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "ROe9UXChDDwjJHid/a4EMii1/AtOgiFOg6JU8/C7+Jy4VPNbUuR41kT9C+5tSfwyhJGm4hyNcXgaca9n7/d4Dg=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "JUP"
      },
      "blockedBy": [],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": -0.10095178560925211
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.3941973615615361
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -1.4537396953918018
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.8105733096133193
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.1964138225271378,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496084,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 2,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#2",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 5,
            "spent": 3,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 5/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 317203.31,
            "volume24hUsd": 266884.46
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.8482297263210349,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 84.8% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 5,
        "spent": 3
      },
      "proposedAction": "HOLD",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 317203.31,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 0.1921,
        "volume24hUsd": 266884.46
      },
      "verdict": "ALLOWED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "fecd8c5e9ddf202908c6ee43be98f0200ba71a42e0dd5d9f8705ed3e29cac4f2"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/JUP/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/PYTH/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetPYTH
chainsolana
proposedActionENTER_LONG
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.17678531939183528
blockedByconviction

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "WVB6+g5DHSSqEZMfravpN6LS8A6MTcYCWtStuMBWGbMfLnzfdB53pbyG6WQy/7h+F0G+Sn2Okhn4kquYkdqFCA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "HZ1JovNiVvGrGNiiYvEozEVgZ58xaU3RKwX8eACQBCt3",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "raydium",
        "symbol": "PYTH"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "conviction"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": 0.3502243732477659
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.8549304073105949
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": 0.9818766620694448
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.27251957163208756
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.17678531939183528,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496084,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496086,
                "index": 2,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#2",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496087,
                "index": 3,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#3",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784469496087,
                "index": 4,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#4",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 3,
            "spent": 5,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 3/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 355469.21,
            "volume24hUsd": 236180.68
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.7128654110608241,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 71.3% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "conviction": 0.17678531939183528,
            "floor": 0.55
          },
          "gate": "conviction",
          "reason": "conviction 0.1768 < floor 0.55",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 3,
        "spent": 5
      },
      "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 355469.21,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 0.04813,
        "volume24hUsd": 236180.68
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "bd330052816f0aa5791e1ec86c8ae40c7e254b4d3695687077b3ae34b2062dcc"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/PYTH/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/SOL/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetSOL
chainsolana
proposedActionENTER_LONG
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.21019521426873808
blockedByconviction

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "tRpiS2GRyjlxMnWlT47hW6WDjlq9q0DG8/g1DnVUalW6ROrv2UE7Ic6meZduCkcRJpWM31qPPVe4u95MU9JRBQ=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "SOL"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "conviction"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": 0.049597661788005176
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.5874894008191807
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -0.6927988196376873
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.6665892486342672
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.21019521426873808,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 8,
            "charges": [],
            "remaining": 8,
            "spent": 0,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 8/8",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 90618,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 90618ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 26315875.21,
            "volume24hUsd": 38515522.81
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.5064317229660398,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 50.6% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "conviction": 0.21019521426873808,
            "floor": 0.55
          },
          "gate": "conviction",
          "reason": "conviction 0.2102 < floor 0.55",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 8,
        "remaining": 8,
        "spent": 0
      },
      "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 26315875.21,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
        "priceUsd": 76.048,
        "volume24hUsd": 38515522.81
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "3ad81b5319b9cc01ce3f9c824bf845b80122d1ae1236ee483909f17d0a8d4e08"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/SOL/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/trackrecord_1784469587263.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/track-record/2026-07-19T13:59:47.263Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/track-record/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "{"_type":"https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1","predicate":{"_doctrine":{"disclaimer":"Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.","doctrine":"v11","lambdaStatus":"Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust","lockedProvenFormulaIds":["F1","F4","F7","F11","F12","F18","F19","F22"],"lockedProvenMappingNote":"local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)","posture":{"custody":false,"execution":false,"financialAdvice":false,"mode":"ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY","provenTrust":false},"trustCeiling":0.97},"summary":{"aggregates":{"h1d":{"hitRate":null,"label":"MEASURED","meanForwardReturn":null,"medianForwardReturn":null,"nGaps":0,"nPending":0,"nRealized":0,"note":"no realized outcomes yet — hit-rate honestly null (nothing to measure)","wins":0},"h7d":{"hitRate":null,"label":"MEASURED","meanForwardReturn":null,"medianForwardReturn":null,"nGaps":0,"nPending":0,"nRealized":0,"note":"no realized outcomes yet — hit-rate honestly null (nothing to measure)","wins":0}},"generatedAtIso":"2026-07-19T13:59:47.263Z","honesty":"MEASURED values describe realized past forward returns of ADVISORY paper signals (baseline and outcome from ONE source series). They predict nothing. Not financial advice.","horizonsDays":[1,7],"inputs":{"excluded":[],"signalReceipts":158,"verified":158},"population":{"blocked":110,"noCallsByGate":[{"count":50,"gate":"conviction"},{"count":60,"gate":"liquidity"}],"note":"FULL population — every verified signal is a row; BLOCKED no-calls counted, never scored, never hidden","scored":0,"total":158},"signals":[{"conviction":0.18699462247804383,"file":"20260715T090057Z_run1/signal_$WIF_1784106057291.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"HOLD","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:00:57.291Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.1539,"symbol":"$WIF","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.17909318401031749,"file":"20260715T090057Z_run1/signal_Bonk_1784106057291.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"HOLD","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:00:57.291Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.000003765,"symbol":"Bonk","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.21760383848279308,"file":"20260715T090057Z_run1/signal_JUP_1784106057291.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"ENTER_LONG","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:00:57.291Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.2087,"symbol":"JUP","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.18966810190310182,"file":"20260715T090057Z_run1/signal_SOL_1784106057291.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"ENTER_LONG","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:00:57.291Z","snapshotPriceUsd":77.52,"symbol":"SOL","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.18684463307507831,"file":"20260715T092114Z_run2/signal_$WIF_1784107274604.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"HOLD","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:21:14.604Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.1545,"symbol":"$WIF","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.1791164636194114,"file":"20260715T092114Z_run2/signal_Bonk_1784107274604.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"HOLD","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:21:14.604Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.000003775,"symbol":"Bonk","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.2172470217451338,"file":"20260715T092114Z_run2/signal_JUP_1784107274604.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"ENTER_LONG","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:21:14.604Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.2093,"symbol":"JUP","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.1882224130608735,"file":"20260715T092114Z_run2/signal_SOL_1784107274604.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"ENTER_LONG","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:21:14.604Z","snapshotPriceUsd":77.83,"symbol":"SOL","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.1868192617389926,"file":"20260715T094346Z_run3/signal_$WIF_1784108626307.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted","proposedAction":"HOLD","scored":false,"signalIso":"2026-07-15T09:43:46.307Z","snapshotPriceUsd":0.1543,"symbol":"$WIF","verdict":"BLOCKED"},{"conviction":0.17910290108524285,"file":"20260715T094346Z_run3/signal_Bonk_1784108626307.receipt.json","note":"no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly 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Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
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      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
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      "generatedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:59:47.263Z",
      "honesty": "MEASURED values describe realized past forward returns of ADVISORY paper signals (baseline and outcome from ONE source series). They predict nothing. Not financial advice.",
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          "file": "20260718T193657Z_run25/signal_SOL_1784403417804.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-18T19:36:57.804Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 75.28,
          "symbol": "SOL",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19370415425492046,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_$WIF_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1527,
          "symbol": "$WIF",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.1618312603981664,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_Bonk_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 2.774e-06,
          "symbol": "Bonk",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19629718416836714,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_JTO_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.5447,
          "symbol": "JTO",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19643605352397275,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_JUP_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1943,
          "symbol": "JUP",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.17534014226698474,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_PYTH_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.04834,
          "symbol": "PYTH",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.2112629058542095,
          "file": "20260719T040053Z_run26/signal_SOL_1784433653541.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T04:00:53.541Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 75.87,
          "symbol": "SOL",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19332237307448663,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_$WIF_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1532,
          "symbol": "$WIF",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.16408932141564575,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_Bonk_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 2.835e-06,
          "symbol": "Bonk",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19659311914590943,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_JTO_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.5504,
          "symbol": "JTO",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19637776163490295,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_JUP_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1916,
          "symbol": "JUP",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.17760057700861848,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_PYTH_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.04823,
          "symbol": "PYTH",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.20953789609211154,
          "file": "20260719T083827Z_run27/signal_SOL_1784450307873.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T08:38:27.873Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 76.098,
          "symbol": "SOL",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.1934663944259375,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1527,
          "symbol": "$WIF",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.1661612106061678,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 2.89e-06,
          "symbol": "Bonk",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.19680347877820842,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.5548,
          "symbol": "JTO",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.1964138225271378,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.1921,
          "symbol": "JUP",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.17678531939183528,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 0.04813,
          "symbol": "PYTH",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "conviction": 0.21019521426873808,
          "file": "20260719T135816Z_run28/signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "note": "no-call (BLOCKED) — never scored, honestly counted",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "scored": false,
          "signalIso": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z",
          "snapshotPriceUsd": 76.048,
          "symbol": "SOL",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/track-record/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "98529c7597bbcbfe67a89e6c5d647ae84d6470bb53b98db5c325e097c26b700e"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/track-record/2026-07-19T13:59:47.263Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/session_1784469496083.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/session/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/session/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "6Uk+jCTqG4CKsY26j5ZmShMMyHFApDfm/Mp48vV33z3fqPs0hXqUADFf7c15WLpZGE3l8GaMg2OT2zkEtaJzDQ=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "decisions": [
        {
          "action": "ENTER_LONG",
          "asset": "SOL",
          "blockedBy": [
            "conviction"
          ],
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "action": "HOLD",
          "asset": "Bonk",
          "blockedBy": [
            "liquidity"
          ],
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "action": "HOLD",
          "asset": "$WIF",
          "blockedBy": [
            "liquidity"
          ],
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "action": "HOLD",
          "asset": "JUP",
          "blockedBy": [],
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "action": "HOLD",
          "asset": "JTO",
          "blockedBy": [],
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "action": "ENTER_LONG",
          "asset": "PYTH",
          "blockedBy": [
            "conviction"
          ],
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "feed": "dexscreener [REPORTED] + coingecko→coinbase daily history [REPORTED]",
      "ouroboros": {
        "loopTax": {
          "budget": 8,
          "remaining": 1,
          "spent": 7
        },
        "trace": {
          "exitReason": "aborted",
          "id": "loop_mrrv2bdg_7",
          "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch",
          "maxSteps": 7,
          "stepsRun": 7
        }
      },
      "session": "2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/session/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "23ea86f337f23a3babc4d6e716e4605692e0febd3e85493a162651fcaf3b5eaa"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/session/2026-07-19T13:58:16.083Z"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/chain_0025.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/chain/0025
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/chain/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "b1sdkbFxw5jMcDH+mQMNtR0DUsQPG2di+FgfN70nO3uDKa0J7a5RgMGS6IRgvynROJrA1oCRurrIqju8UyJDAQ=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "coverage": {
        "dirs": 1,
        "files": 10
      },
      "covers": [
        {
          "dir": "20260719T135816Z_run28",
          "files": [
            {
              "name": "book_1784469587350.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "274b1c1e77b2b05f084e0cf1a196e97c8f27d18334e8657edbd7c688e78568c1"
            },
            {
              "name": "refusals_1784469587406.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "2f72f9ab94d36be784c9e864616c8bc05b43000cdb36504f2f6b97c22dd02c39"
            },
            {
              "name": "session_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "a7ab8de133fa7b679b6a60322a4a15160b59ba29a71b2b4accd0e606e80c34c4"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "b625eb44542ba2bcc3a0990e9009f10a339ec02be42d887f48680bd10a98459c"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "3f37020581be67f6254360213636419983aae3888cdbd5c61be831b0edbde8fa"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "e198ce8705e94d236bb21c1409fd2d5de9ec94c8f306b306a472a8f5a8aafebb"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "e7526ee823196afd946682044acdb4c030749897027b23e56eb3818ff5c9e090"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "dcf6a6c04c5f9219abe8cda20e7c5956b8da08db4f21b404f5f59b576477d5ed"
            },
            {
              "name": "signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "29f9ff8f207d65147aef58b7263f176fc412209368a9ef218aab2b650a6f862d"
            },
            {
              "name": "trackrecord_1784469587263.receipt.json",
              "sha256": "2ae49bc275328925eb7c84e3991b6e8eca9a5949cb02bf9ceb7af606d3a1a102"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "generatedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:59:47.467Z",
      "kind": "szl-quant-chain",
      "limits": "head truncation (deleting the newest link wholesale) is not detectable by the chain alone; external witnesses (Actions logs, git history of INDEX.md) cover that gap",
      "note": "links to prev chain receipt by sha256 of its bytes; seals all unsealed run dirs",
      "prev": {
        "file": "chain_0024.receipt.json",
        "runDir": "20260719T083827Z_run27",
        "sha256": "6ec7cbe55fe4091d53868c4cdce79052dc35b4706caefc654d713b1f88bac3bf"
      },
      "seq": 25,
      "v": 1
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/chain/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "55f79085d3f61669aa9ce2159bb504b930933375353e88be3fcc53aec27fef87"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/chain/0025"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/book_1784469587350.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/book/0019
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/book/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "DXweDWiuoSWxLVia7LKHQRMyTWN1Cf6oWcrez/DQjNLk6+njsXqznxM0rfozZhMVwYJSL5bzukvXpNTZfnkaAQ=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "config": {
        "costModel": {
          "feeBps": 30,
          "slippageBps": 20
        },
        "entryFractionBps": 1000,
        "startingCashUsd": 10000
      },
      "configNote": "config INHERITED from the existing book chain; engine defaults differ — changing config requires an explicit new book, never a silent drift",
      "fills": [],
      "generatedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:59:47.348Z",
      "inputs": {
        "decisions": [
          {
            "file": "signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 0.1527,
            "proposedAction": "HOLD",
            "symbol": "$WIF",
            "verdict": "BLOCKED"
          },
          {
            "file": "signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 2.89e-06,
            "proposedAction": "HOLD",
            "symbol": "Bonk",
            "verdict": "BLOCKED"
          },
          {
            "file": "signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 0.5548,
            "proposedAction": "HOLD",
            "symbol": "JTO",
            "verdict": "ALLOWED"
          },
          {
            "file": "signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 0.1921,
            "proposedAction": "HOLD",
            "symbol": "JUP",
            "verdict": "ALLOWED"
          },
          {
            "file": "signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 0.04813,
            "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
            "symbol": "PYTH",
            "verdict": "BLOCKED"
          },
          {
            "file": "signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json",
            "observedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:56:45.465Z",
            "priceUsd": 76.048,
            "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
            "symbol": "SOL",
            "verdict": "BLOCKED"
          }
        ],
        "excludedSignals": {
          "count": 0,
          "files": []
        },
        "signalFiles": [
          "signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json"
        ]
      },
      "kind": "szl-quant-book",
      "labels": {
        "equity": "MODELED (paper simulation over REPORTED marks — NOT real funds)",
        "fills": "MODELED (simulated at REPORTED decision-time price + modeled bps costs)"
      },
      "limits": "paper-only simulation: fills at decision-time REPORTED DEX price with MODELED fee+slippage bps; no depth/latency/partial-fill realism; equity is MODELED, never real funds; a run missed by the book stays un-booked (declared, never backfilled)",
      "mark": {
        "atIso": "2026-07-19T13:59:47.348Z",
        "cashUsd": "10000.000000",
        "equityUsd": "10000.000000",
        "fillsSoFar": 0,
        "positions": []
      },
      "noActions": [
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "$WIF",
          "why": "decision BLOCKED — fail closed, the gates hold the book"
        },
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "Bonk",
          "why": "decision BLOCKED — fail closed, the gates hold the book"
        },
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "JTO",
          "why": "HOLD — no book action"
        },
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "JUP",
          "why": "HOLD — no book action"
        },
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "PYTH",
          "why": "decision BLOCKED — fail closed, the gates hold the book"
        },
        {
          "action": "NONE",
          "asset": "SOL",
          "why": "decision BLOCKED — fail closed, the gates hold the book"
        }
      ],
      "note": "stateful paper book — extends the previous receipt by sha256 of its bytes; the transition is replayable from the signed signal receipts in this run dir",
      "prev": {
        "file": "book_1784450399747.receipt.json",
        "runDir": "20260719T083827Z_run27",
        "sha256": "9be8257996b86f5c594cc9d5fbde7da27f2adbbc8e5c8c2d0e7495b5cccbd7b3"
      },
      "runDir": "20260719T135816Z_run28",
      "seq": 19,
      "skippedRunDirs": [],
      "state": {
        "cashMicro": "10000000000",
        "positions": {}
      },
      "v": 1
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/book/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "a3250148b7d48fb9c29973a6744c59f3fb4cd099ae96c87f3a0949ad4999dd53"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/book/0019"
    }
  ]
}
ledger/20260719T135816Z_run28/refusals_1784469587406.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/refusals/20260719T135816Z_run28
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/refusals/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "/kAGfoA5eJJdBGH5OIXDuOddx/VcA0Y5lrQKqW1f6sMk+ebD8MrVvjL45a9szpoRhGEtXUQL27PcCCaK2+iqCA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "decisions": [
        {
          "blockedBy": [
            "liquidity"
          ],
          "conviction": 0.1934663944259375,
          "file": "signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "symbol": "$WIF",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "blockedBy": [
            "liquidity"
          ],
          "conviction": 0.1661612106061678,
          "file": "signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "symbol": "Bonk",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "blockedBy": [],
          "conviction": 0.19680347877820842,
          "file": "signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "symbol": "JTO",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "blockedBy": [],
          "conviction": 0.1964138225271378,
          "file": "signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "HOLD",
          "symbol": "JUP",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "blockedBy": [
            "conviction"
          ],
          "conviction": 0.17678531939183528,
          "file": "signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "symbol": "PYTH",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "blockedBy": [
            "conviction"
          ],
          "conviction": 0.21019521426873808,
          "file": "signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
          "symbol": "SOL",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "generatedAtIso": "2026-07-19T13:59:47.404Z",
      "inputs": {
        "excludedSignals": {
          "count": 0,
          "files": []
        },
        "signalFiles": [
          "signal_$WIF_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_Bonk_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_JTO_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_JUP_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_PYTH_1784469496083.receipt.json",
          "signal_SOL_1784469496083.receipt.json"
        ]
      },
      "kind": "szl-quant-refusals",
      "labels": {
        "convictions": "HEURISTIC",
        "counts": "MEASURED",
        "note": "counts are MEASURED over the DSSE-verified decision receipts in this run dir alone; convictions are echoed HEURISTIC values (ceiling-capped upstream, never proven trust)"
      },
      "limits": [
        "per-run census only — cross-run aggregation is display-level and must be recomputed from these receipts",
        "says WHY entries were refused, not whether refusing was right — no performance claim"
      ],
      "note": "refusals are part of the record — a BLOCKED verdict is a decision, not an absence; this receipt makes the reasons countable",
      "runDir": "20260719T135816Z_run28",
      "totals": {
        "allowed": 2,
        "blocked": 4,
        "byAction": {
          "ENTER_LONG": 2,
          "HOLD": 4
        },
        "decisions": 6,
        "refusalsByGate": [
          {
            "count": 2,
            "gate": "conviction"
          },
          {
            "count": 2,
            "gate": "liquidity"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/refusals/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "bde20aadfd2c6cb1a5a85bb28e40c3e4baa32f5e8381c2883ab6d29e6f54856b"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/refusals/20260719T135816Z_run28"
    }
  ]
}

Genesis session (static origin set, szl-quant@main receipts/)

signal_SOL_1784088245451.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/SOL/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetSOL
chainsolana
proposedActionENTER_LONG
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.18823508068310116
blockedByconviction

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "3FNbKmiU2RKxgquVu0epFqbuBDt4W9BVPciREpCG7OE3sAT37K1MLSczCIAXrBL8UtS/mj8aFxh52sHKvVoCCg=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "SOL"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "conviction"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": 0.08007548640002193
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.6361320119315564
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": 0.23254541754126798
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.4421242249953429
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.18823508068310116,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 6,
            "charges": [],
            "remaining": 6,
            "spent": 0,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 6/6",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 60577,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 60577ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 25771472.78,
            "volume24hUsd": 82032875.2
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.5175525197367987,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 51.8% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "conviction": 0.18823508068310116,
            "floor": 0.55
          },
          "gate": "conviction",
          "reason": "conviction 0.1882 < floor 0.55",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 6,
        "remaining": 6,
        "spent": 0
      },
      "proposedAction": "ENTER_LONG",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 25771472.78,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-15T04:03:04.874Z",
        "priceUsd": 77.82,
        "volume24hUsd": 82032875.2
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "136c72444e7d0223cfe29bfae155b160b82018e62cb11ad58214da8b9abb44f8"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/SOL/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z"
    }
  ]
}
signal_JUP_1784088245451.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/JUP/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetJUP
chainsolana
proposedActionABSTAIN
verdictBLOCKED
convictionNone
blockedByhistory

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "5ay5C6YwJrf/NeFIBtuHQhrku63fnzLUt+IcVOD3RQPALO+ZtHj8rh8AvOjSH5RKErxvEOY0ovJOIC/Rlej7AQ=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "meteora",
        "symbol": "JUP"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "history"
      ],
      "components": null,
      "conviction": null,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 6,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245451,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245453,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245453,
                "index": 2,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#2",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 3,
            "spent": 3,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 3/6",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 60577,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 60577ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 396399471.33,
            "volume24hUsd": 192509086.94
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "liquidity and volume clear floors",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "gate": "history",
          "reason": "coingecko jupiter-exchange-solana: HTTP 429 Throttled",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 6,
        "remaining": 3,
        "spent": 3
      },
      "proposedAction": "ABSTAIN",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 396399471.33,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-15T04:03:04.874Z",
        "priceUsd": 978.49,
        "volume24hUsd": 192509086.94
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "068cdc469601c89b180b60a370ccf0234cc153978098f34a89c2dd0bb4f7beae"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/JUP/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z"
    }
  ]
}
signal_Bonk_1784088245451.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/Bonk/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetBonk
chainsolana
proposedActionHOLD
verdictBLOCKED
conviction0.17912461239397165
blockedByliquidity

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "eyJfdHlwZSI6Imh0dHBzOi8vaW4tdG90by5pby9TdGF0ZW1lbnQvdjEiLCJwcmVkaWNhdGUiOnsiX2RvY3RyaW5lIjp7ImRpc2NsYWltZXIiOiJBZHZpc29yeSByZXNlYXJjaCBvdXRwdXQuIFBhcGVyLW9ubHkuIE5PVCBmaW5hbmNpYWwgYWR2aWNlLiBObyBleGVjdXRpb24sIG5vIGN1c3RvZHkuIiwiZG9jdHJpbmUiOiJ2MTEiLCJsYW1iZGFTdGF0dXMiOiJDb25qZWN0dXJlIDEgKG9wZW4pIOKAlCB1bmlxdWVuZXNzIHVucHJvdmVuOyDOmyByb2xsLXVwcyBhcmUgQURWSVNPUlkgb25seSwgbmV2ZXIgcHJvdmVuIHRydXN0IiwibG9ja2VkUHJvdmVuRm9ybXVsYUlkcyI6WyJGMSIsIkY0IiwiRjciLCJGMTEiLCJGMTIiLCJGMTgiLCJGMTkiLCJGMjIiXSwibG9ja2VkUHJvdmVuTWFwcGluZ05vdGUiOiJsb2NhbCBmb3JtdWxhIGltcGxlbWVudGF0aW9ucyBhcmUgTk9UIGFzc2VydGVkIHRvIG1hcCBvbnRvIHRoZSBsb2NrZWQtcHJvdmVuIEYtaWRzIChVTktOT1dOIOKAlCBuZXZlciBmYWJyaWNhdGVkKSIsInBvc3R1cmUiOnsiY3VzdG9keSI6ZmFsc2UsImV4ZWN1dGlvbiI6ZmFsc2UsImZpbmFuY2lhbEFkdmljZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1vZGUiOiJBRFZJU09SWV9QQVBFUl9PTkxZIiwicHJvdmVuVHJ1c3QiOmZhbHNlfSwidHJ1c3RDZWlsaW5nIjowLjk3fSwiZGVjaXNpb24iOnsiYXNzZXQiOnsiYWRkcmVzcyI6IkRlelhBWjh6N1Bucm5SSmp6M3dYQm9SZ2l4Q2E2eGpuQjdZYUIxcFBCMjYzIiwiY2hhaW4iOiJzb2xhbmEiLCJkZXgiOiJvcmNhIiwic3ltYm9sIjoiQm9uayJ9LCJibG9ja2VkQnkiOlsibGlxdWlkaXR5Il0sImNvbXBvbmVudHMiOnsibW9tZW50dW0iOnsiZXZpZGVuY2UiOnsibG9va2JhY2tEYXlzIjoyOCwidHJhaWxpbmdSZXR1cm4iOi0wLjE4NTAyOTY5NTU5OTc3MDc4fSwibGFiZWwiOiJIRVVSSVNUSUMiLCJ2YWx1ZSI6MC4zMDcwMzczMzY5MTE1MjAzfSwicmV2ZXJzaW9uIjp7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7IndpbmRvd0RheXMiOjIwLCJ6U2NvcmUiOi0xLjMyMDk1NTYwNzc1OTM5NTh9LCJsYWJlbCI6IkhFVVJJU1RJQyIsInZhbHVlIjowLjc4OTM0MDY1MDgxNTQyMTZ9LCJzYW1wbGVDb25maWRlbmNlIjp7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7Im5PYnNlcnZhdGlvbnMiOjEyMCwibm90ZSI6IkhvZWZmZGluZyBzaGFwZTsgaWlkIHZpb2xhdGVkIGJ5IG1hcmtldHMifSwibGFiZWwiOiJIRVVSSVNUSUMiLCJ2YWx1ZSI6MC4wMjM3MTQyOTAyNDIwOTA3MDh9fSwiY29udmljdGlvbiI6MC4xNzkxMjQ2MTIzOTM5NzE2NSwiZ2F0ZXMiOlt7ImdhdGUiOiJwb3N0dXJlIiwicmVhc29uIjoiQURWSVNPUllfUEFQRVJfT05MWSBwb3N0dXJlIHZlcmlmaWVkOyBubyBleGVjdXRpb24vY3VzdG9keSBjb2RlIHBhdGhzIiwidmVyZGljdCI6IkFMTE9XRUQifSx7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7ImJ1ZGdldCI6NiwiY2hhcmdlcyI6W3siYXRNcyI6MTc4NDA4ODI0NTQ1MSwiaW5kZXgiOjAsImxhYmVsIjoic3psLXF1YW50LnBhcGVyLWJhdGNoIzAiLCJ0YXgiOjF9XSwicmVtYWluaW5nIjo1LCJzcGVudCI6MSwidGF4UGVyU3RlcCI6MX0sImdhdGUiOiJsb29wLXRheCIsInJlYXNvbiI6ImJ1ZGdldCByZW1haW5pbmcgNS82IiwidmVyZGljdCI6IkFMTE9XRUQifSx7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7ImFnZU1zIjo2MDU3NywibWF4QWdlTXMiOjMwMDAwMH0sImdhdGUiOiJmcmVzaG5lc3MiLCJyZWFzb24iOiJhZ2UgNjA1NzdtcyB3aXRoaW4gMzAwMDAwbXMiLCJ2ZXJkaWN0IjoiQUxMT1dFRCJ9LHsiZXZpZGVuY2UiOnsibGlxdWlkaXR5VXNkIjoxMTQ4NDkuMTYsIm1pbkxpcXVpZGl0eVVzZCI6MjUwMDAwfSwiZ2F0ZSI6ImxpcXVpZGl0eSIsInJlYXNvbiI6InBvb2wgbGlxdWlkaXR5ICQxMTQ4NDkgPCBmbG9vciAkMjUwMDAwIiwidmVyZGljdCI6IkJMT0NLRUQifSx7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7Im1pbk9icyI6NDUsIm5PYnMiOjEyMX0sImdhdGUiOiJzYW1wbGUtc2l6ZSIsInJlYXNvbiI6IjEyMSBvYnNlcnZhdGlvbnMg4omlIDQ1IiwidmVyZGljdCI6IkFMTE9XRUQifSx7ImV2aWRlbmNlIjp7ImFublZvbCI6MC44MjA2OTMyMDY0NzY1MjU3LCJtYXhBbm5Wb2wiOjMuNX0sImdhdGUiOiJ2b2xhdGlsaXR5IiwicmVhc29uIjoiYW5udWFsaXplZCB2b2wgODIuMSUgd2l0aGluIGNhcCIsInZlcmRpY3QiOiJBTExPV0VEIn1dLCJsb29wVGF4Ijp7ImJ1ZGdldCI6NiwicmVtYWluaW5nIjo1LCJzcGVudCI6MX0sInByb3Bvc2VkQWN0aW9uIjoiSE9MRCIsInNuYXBzaG90Ijp7ImxhYmVsIjoiUkVQT1JURUQiLCJsaXF1aWRpdHlVc2QiOjExNDg0OS4xNiwib2JzZXJ2ZWRBdElzbyI6IjIwMjYtMDctMTVUMDQ6MDM6MDQuODc0WiIsInByaWNlVXNkIjowLjAwMDAwMzc3NSwidm9sdW1lMjRoVXNkIjoxNDMzNzYuODJ9LCJ2ZXJkaWN0IjoiQkxPQ0tFRCJ9fSwicHJlZGljYXRlVHlwZSI6Imh0dHBzOi8vc3psLmhvbGRpbmdzL3F1YW50L3NpZ25hbC92MSIsInN1YmplY3QiOlt7ImRpZ2VzdCI6eyJzaGEyNTYiOiI2NTM3N2ExYzFlYjA2NGQyNjgwNmI5N2ZiYzg0M2QxMGNhMTk3OTQwOWI5MzdlMzVhZTQ5YzM4MzlhZmY5YWViIn0sIm5hbWUiOiJzemwtcXVhbnQvc2lnbmFsL0JvbmsvMjAyNi0wNy0xNVQwNDowNDowNS40NTFaIn1dfQ==",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "q/FCmEJacAe+nr/anE8vOpecOzbdgqc0HQCP7PIY/DcbYVoAmDbJipQWt+sPfoR+q72HCWSdVVJqAoAnzy5WCg=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "DezXAZ8z7PnrnRJjz3wXBoRgixCa6xjnB7YaB1pPB263",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "Bonk"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "liquidity"
      ],
      "components": {
        "momentum": {
          "evidence": {
            "lookbackDays": 28,
            "trailingReturn": -0.18502969559977078
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.3070373369115203
        },
        "reversion": {
          "evidence": {
            "windowDays": 20,
            "zScore": -1.3209556077593958
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.7893406508154216
        },
        "sampleConfidence": {
          "evidence": {
            "nObservations": 120,
            "note": "Hoeffding shape; iid violated by markets"
          },
          "label": "HEURISTIC",
          "value": 0.023714290242090708
        }
      },
      "conviction": 0.17912461239397165,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 6,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245451,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 5,
            "spent": 1,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 5/6",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 60577,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 60577ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 114849.16,
            "minLiquidityUsd": 250000
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "pool liquidity $114849 < floor $250000",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "minObs": 45,
            "nObs": 121
          },
          "gate": "sample-size",
          "reason": "121 observations ≥ 45",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "annVol": 0.8206932064765257,
            "maxAnnVol": 3.5
          },
          "gate": "volatility",
          "reason": "annualized vol 82.1% within cap",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 6,
        "remaining": 5,
        "spent": 1
      },
      "proposedAction": "HOLD",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 114849.16,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-15T04:03:04.874Z",
        "priceUsd": 3.775e-06,
        "volume24hUsd": 143376.82
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "65377a1c1eb064d26806b97fbc843d10ca1979409b937e35ae49c3839aff9aeb"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/Bonk/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z"
    }
  ]
}
signal_$WIF_1784088245451.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/signal/$WIF/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
asset$WIF
chainsolana
proposedActionABSTAIN
verdictBLOCKED
convictionNone
blockedByliquidity, history

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "+x57nTWS76m5qe9mL6O4zKNGXeb+xaMaRQySUkvv5ty2mHET+2RMteitFkOtvn+xPPuUeyjicaGansII546FDA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "decision": {
      "asset": {
        "address": "EKpQGSJtjMFqKZ9KQanSqYXRcF8fBopzLHYxdM65zcjm",
        "chain": "solana",
        "dex": "orca",
        "symbol": "$WIF"
      },
      "blockedBy": [
        "liquidity",
        "history"
      ],
      "components": null,
      "conviction": null,
      "gates": [
        {
          "gate": "posture",
          "reason": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY posture verified; no execution/custody code paths",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "budget": 6,
            "charges": [
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245451,
                "index": 0,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#0",
                "tax": 1
              },
              {
                "atMs": 1784088245453,
                "index": 1,
                "label": "szl-quant.paper-batch#1",
                "tax": 1
              }
            ],
            "remaining": 4,
            "spent": 2,
            "taxPerStep": 1
          },
          "gate": "loop-tax",
          "reason": "budget remaining 4/6",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "ageMs": 60577,
            "maxAgeMs": 300000
          },
          "gate": "freshness",
          "reason": "age 60577ms within 300000ms",
          "verdict": "ALLOWED"
        },
        {
          "evidence": {
            "liquidityUsd": 109128.87,
            "minLiquidityUsd": 250000
          },
          "gate": "liquidity",
          "reason": "pool liquidity $109129 < floor $250000",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        },
        {
          "gate": "history",
          "reason": "coingecko dogwifcoin: HTTP 429 Throttled",
          "verdict": "BLOCKED"
        }
      ],
      "loopTax": {
        "budget": 6,
        "remaining": 4,
        "spent": 2
      },
      "proposedAction": "ABSTAIN",
      "snapshot": {
        "label": "REPORTED",
        "liquidityUsd": 109128.87,
        "observedAtIso": "2026-07-15T04:03:04.874Z",
        "priceUsd": 0.1553,
        "volume24hUsd": 90760.8
      },
      "verdict": "BLOCKED"
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/signal/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "21cf5569777dfa2b342f725de55493d2ba2dc25035f79f6076c8454cf573363d"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/signal/$WIF/2026-07-15T04:04:05.451Z"
    }
  ]
}
backtest_BTC_365d.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/backtest/BTC/365d
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetBTC
populationSize5
outOfSampleBars110

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "SBDCPYIH/RX0BpThb0TH0h6Bc96meiWUcGmCjfm1403AlKysB3wHAFfot0N3l6yc+JJG+dVObMNDo4KpSxYdBA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "asset": {
        "coinId": "bitcoin",
        "symbol": "BTC"
      },
      "dataset": {
        "coinId": "bitcoin",
        "firstIso": "2025-07-16T00:00:00.000Z",
        "lastIso": "2026-07-15T03:57:06.000Z",
        "n": 366,
        "requestedDays": 365,
        "sha256": "7aaef9c82a1607cf9bcd98fa096b939720477cebd95b18d8238c2b55650617d5",
        "source": "coingecko-public",
        "sourceLabel": "REPORTED",
        "url": "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/bitcoin/market_chart?vs_currency=usd&days=365&interval=daily",
        "vsCurrency": "usd"
      },
      "method": {
        "costModel": {
          "feeBps": 30,
          "label": "MODELED",
          "slippageBps": 20
        },
        "grid": [
          {
            "momentumLookback": 14,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 56,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1.5,
            "zWindow": 10
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 0.5,
            "zWindow": 30
          }
        ],
        "kind": "walk-forward replay, decisions at close t filled at close t+1 (no lookahead)",
        "label": "MEASURED",
        "limits": "Daily bars only; long-only; no shorting/leverage; small-n win rates are weak evidence; multiple-testing risk disclosed (full population reported)."
      },
      "walkForward": {
        "cherryPickNote": "ALL configs reported (full population). Selecting the best cell after the fact is multiple testing — see METHODOLOGY.md.",
        "inSampleBars": 256,
        "outOfSampleBars": 110,
        "populationSize": 5,
        "results": [
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9362.58226,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.0643763726383771,
              "nRoundTrips": 8,
              "nTrades": 17,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.06374177400000003,
              "winRate": 0.375,
              "winRateNote": "only 8 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9664.889183,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.06181595682919584,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.033511081700000056,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 14,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9246.883628,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.08607471150233398,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.0753116372,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9753.451176,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.054973740426738214,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 6,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.02465488239999991,
              "winRate": 0.6666666666666666,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9353.841436,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.07904693222774055,
              "nRoundTrips": 2,
              "nTrades": 4,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.0646158563999999,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 2 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9789.607754,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.0557612133930431,
              "nRoundTrips": 2,
              "nTrades": 4,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.02103922459999996,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 2 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 56,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9134.26342,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.08923854675765747,
              "nRoundTrips": 6,
              "nTrades": 13,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.08657365800000005,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 6 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 10121.399618,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.024883726704774654,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 8,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": 0.012139961799999988,
              "winRate": 0.75,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1.5,
              "zWindow": 10
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9097.306706,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.11085683418184848,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.0902693294000001,
              "winRate": 0.25,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9711.832796,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.050874688095121155,
              "nRoundTrips": 2,
              "nTrades": 4,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.02881672039999994,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 2 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 0.5,
              "zWindow": 30
            }
          }
        ],
        "splitIndex": 256
      }
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "9a7265ddd9ca22811988d54bfaeea4f2ad303f711a34e30fbe8fae8445407e54"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/backtest/BTC/365d"
    }
  ]
}
backtest_ETH_365d.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/backtest/ETH/365d
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetETH
populationSize5
outOfSampleBars110

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "0IOrzs8dMK8dXP36dF+Gbq0qJij8iikr1eqCwVPk6lhDw5TrgB635riu9uzn2S2Um3mZlP1PXjV9GHQ+D3NLDA=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "asset": {
        "coinId": "ethereum",
        "symbol": "ETH"
      },
      "dataset": {
        "coinId": "ethereum",
        "firstIso": "2025-07-16T00:00:00.000Z",
        "lastIso": "2026-07-15T03:57:01.000Z",
        "n": 366,
        "requestedDays": 365,
        "sha256": "95b4d8c40c5072188726e7bfc08aa057ef8b82c673f68aec4bf05733dbadfff9",
        "source": "coingecko-public",
        "sourceLabel": "REPORTED",
        "url": "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/ethereum/market_chart?vs_currency=usd&days=365&interval=daily",
        "vsCurrency": "usd"
      },
      "method": {
        "costModel": {
          "feeBps": 30,
          "label": "MODELED",
          "slippageBps": 20
        },
        "grid": [
          {
            "momentumLookback": 14,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 56,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1.5,
            "zWindow": 10
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 0.5,
            "zWindow": 30
          }
        ],
        "kind": "walk-forward replay, decisions at close t filled at close t+1 (no lookahead)",
        "label": "MEASURED",
        "limits": "Daily bars only; long-only; no shorting/leverage; small-n win rates are weak evidence; multiple-testing risk disclosed (full population reported)."
      },
      "walkForward": {
        "cherryPickNote": "ALL configs reported (full population). Selecting the best cell after the fact is multiple testing — see METHODOLOGY.md.",
        "inSampleBars": 256,
        "outOfSampleBars": 110,
        "populationSize": 5,
        "results": [
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9586.810372,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.09260625002039595,
              "nRoundTrips": 7,
              "nTrades": 15,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.041318962800000025,
              "winRate": 0.7142857142857143,
              "winRateNote": "only 7 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9620.149762,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.07827007360173521,
              "nRoundTrips": 6,
              "nTrades": 13,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.03798502380000013,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 6 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 14,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9161.550964,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.121636831387232,
              "nRoundTrips": 6,
              "nTrades": 13,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.08384490359999996,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 6 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 10342.630165,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.03471876313145487,
              "nRoundTrips": 2,
              "nTrades": 4,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": 0.034263016499999965,
              "winRate": 1,
              "winRateNote": "only 2 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9255.402352,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.09733708152330087,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 6,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.07445976480000005,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9662.579457,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.07700426294664771,
              "nRoundTrips": 2,
              "nTrades": 4,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.03374205429999999,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 2 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 56,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8688.444679,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.15844446147689936,
              "nRoundTrips": 6,
              "nTrades": 13,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.13115553209999997,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 6 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 10421.052188,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.03567890940601481,
              "nRoundTrips": 1,
              "nTrades": 3,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": 0.042105218799999955,
              "winRate": 1,
              "winRateNote": "only 1 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1.5,
              "zWindow": 10
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8907.500937,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.13763900776232185,
              "nRoundTrips": 5,
              "nTrades": 11,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.10924990629999998,
              "winRate": 0.4,
              "winRateNote": "only 5 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 10193.717391,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.017758313572017004,
              "nRoundTrips": 1,
              "nTrades": 2,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": 0.019371739100000118,
              "winRate": 1,
              "winRateNote": "only 1 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 0.5,
              "zWindow": 30
            }
          }
        ],
        "splitIndex": 256
      }
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "ef9ce29c68a6218c4fd2d9ee366c24cd696fc274a75ce0ed7674ac51ce131581"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/backtest/ETH/365d"
    }
  ]
}
backtest_SOL_365d.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/backtest/SOL/365d
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetSOL
populationSize5
outOfSampleBars110

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "9sz/2mI0m1GqmzCKUdLzi9K4Mn1eoaUkAyHdC+92a2H/UnheTmbxXZ7rpHwCryO4vOBjUom1VT+vjOw+PhTrDw=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "asset": {
        "coinId": "solana",
        "symbol": "SOL"
      },
      "dataset": {
        "coinId": "solana",
        "firstIso": "2025-07-16T00:00:00.000Z",
        "lastIso": "2026-07-15T03:56:58.000Z",
        "n": 366,
        "requestedDays": 365,
        "sha256": "0131ee310244d835e78134138edf0f0dfbf2f82ab5ff3efb9b8532e863086b58",
        "source": "coingecko-public",
        "sourceLabel": "REPORTED",
        "url": "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/solana/market_chart?vs_currency=usd&days=365&interval=daily",
        "vsCurrency": "usd"
      },
      "method": {
        "costModel": {
          "feeBps": 30,
          "label": "MODELED",
          "slippageBps": 20
        },
        "grid": [
          {
            "momentumLookback": 14,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 56,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1.5,
            "zWindow": 10
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 0.5,
            "zWindow": 30
          }
        ],
        "kind": "walk-forward replay, decisions at close t filled at close t+1 (no lookahead)",
        "label": "MEASURED",
        "limits": "Daily bars only; long-only; no shorting/leverage; small-n win rates are weak evidence; multiple-testing risk disclosed (full population reported)."
      },
      "walkForward": {
        "cherryPickNote": "ALL configs reported (full population). Selecting the best cell after the fact is multiple testing — see METHODOLOGY.md.",
        "inSampleBars": 256,
        "outOfSampleBars": 110,
        "populationSize": 5,
        "results": [
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8998.192313,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.15342167075929897,
              "nRoundTrips": 8,
              "nTrades": 17,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.10018076870000003,
              "winRate": 0.625,
              "winRateNote": "only 8 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9813.518,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.087544962821651,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.018648200000000004,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 14,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9249.013317,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.12805322484566586,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.0750986682999999,
              "winRate": 0.6666666666666666,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9619.242741,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.07926335829918504,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.03807572589999997,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8965.490822,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.12503175055802698,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 6,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.10345091780000004,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9684.438184,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.08070765289839639,
              "nRoundTrips": 5,
              "nTrades": 10,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.031556181599999955,
              "winRate": 0.6,
              "winRateNote": "only 5 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 56,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9093.896799,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.13400300970457643,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.09061032010000003,
              "winRate": 0.25,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9519.059128,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.07926369024850331,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.04809408719999997,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1.5,
              "zWindow": 10
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8832.231269,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.1744114454676162,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.11677687310000007,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9678.042486,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.08078455188114331,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.03219575139999997,
              "winRate": 0.3333333333333333,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 0.5,
              "zWindow": 30
            }
          }
        ],
        "splitIndex": 256
      }
    }
  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "15766dfa452b7bf8ef227b4f124004cf76adf6fcde84e4b3bad66b9c503e3b11"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/backtest/SOL/365d"
    }
  ]
}
backtest_BONK_365d.receipt.json VERIFIED
subjectszl-quant/backtest/BONK/365d
predicateTypehttps://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1
keyId5c6cf59741ade920
assetBONK
populationSize5
outOfSampleBars110

Λ — Conjecture 1 (open): Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust

Verification checks (fail-closed)
  • pinConfiguredAndMatches: PASS
  • payloadTypeIsInToto: PASS
  • embeddedSpkiMatchesPinned: PASS
  • ed25519SignatureVerifiesWithPinnedKey: PASS
Raw DSSE envelope (JSON)
{
  "payloadType": "application/vnd.in-toto+json",
  "payload": "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",
  "signatures": [
    {
      "keyid": "5c6cf59741ade920",
      "sig": "/lYW7QLvzC4Bxz6Rag2qkCfHnK2VzayEKRzNIX1M8pCkeoMii5dBTBNDSo05WicHi2pScYYlo3HNXUqwbCHKDw=="
    }
  ],
  "publicKeySpkiBase64": "MCowBQYDK2VwAyEArBOmZZSDK+n7Qq1HJYbqNuX9YymnsRWbzSGHHnhsERM="
}
Decoded in-toto payload (JSON)
{
  "_type": "https://in-toto.io/Statement/v1",
  "predicate": {
    "_doctrine": {
      "disclaimer": "Advisory research output. Paper-only. NOT financial advice. No execution, no custody.",
      "doctrine": "v11",
      "lambdaStatus": "Conjecture 1 (open) — uniqueness unproven; Λ roll-ups are ADVISORY only, never proven trust",
      "lockedProvenFormulaIds": [
        "F1",
        "F4",
        "F7",
        "F11",
        "F12",
        "F18",
        "F19",
        "F22"
      ],
      "lockedProvenMappingNote": "local formula implementations are NOT asserted to map onto the locked-proven F-ids (UNKNOWN — never fabricated)",
      "posture": {
        "custody": false,
        "execution": false,
        "financialAdvice": false,
        "mode": "ADVISORY_PAPER_ONLY",
        "provenTrust": false
      },
      "trustCeiling": 0.97
    },
    "summary": {
      "asset": {
        "coinId": "bonk",
        "symbol": "BONK"
      },
      "dataset": {
        "coinId": "bonk",
        "firstIso": "2025-07-16T00:00:00.000Z",
        "lastIso": "2026-07-15T03:57:29.000Z",
        "n": 366,
        "requestedDays": 365,
        "sha256": "550fef6dfa409307c956433c3436901060b5931e8c5a381b666a4ef0de1783fe",
        "source": "coingecko-public",
        "sourceLabel": "REPORTED",
        "url": "https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/bonk/market_chart?vs_currency=usd&days=365&interval=daily",
        "vsCurrency": "usd"
      },
      "method": {
        "costModel": {
          "feeBps": 30,
          "label": "MODELED",
          "slippageBps": 20
        },
        "grid": [
          {
            "momentumLookback": 14,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 56,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1,
            "zWindow": 20
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 1.5,
            "zWindow": 10
          },
          {
            "momentumLookback": 28,
            "positionFraction": 0.2,
            "volWindow": 30,
            "zEntry": 0.5,
            "zWindow": 30
          }
        ],
        "kind": "walk-forward replay, decisions at close t filled at close t+1 (no lookahead)",
        "label": "MEASURED",
        "limits": "Daily bars only; long-only; no shorting/leverage; small-n win rates are weak evidence; multiple-testing risk disclosed (full population reported)."
      },
      "walkForward": {
        "cherryPickNote": "ALL configs reported (full population). Selecting the best cell after the fact is multiple testing — see METHODOLOGY.md.",
        "inSampleBars": 256,
        "outOfSampleBars": 110,
        "populationSize": 5,
        "results": [
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8244.446663,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.1823689259564419,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.17555533369999998,
              "winRate": 0.25,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9333.336662,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.12499941414434804,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.06666633379999998,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 14,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 8729.776936,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.15265739455050117,
              "nRoundTrips": 6,
              "nTrades": 12,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.1270223064,
              "winRate": 0.16666666666666666,
              "winRateNote": "only 6 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9333.336663,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.12499941413262917,
              "nRoundTrips": 4,
              "nTrades": 9,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.06666633369999997,
              "winRate": 0.5,
              "winRateNote": "only 4 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
              "positionFraction": 0.2,
              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 1,
              "zWindow": 20
            }
          },
          {
            "inSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9272.727272,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.09090909100000008,
              "nRoundTrips": 1,
              "nTrades": 2,
              "openAtEnd": false,
              "totalReturn": -0.07272727280000002,
              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 1 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "outOfSample": {
              "finalEquityUsd": 9333.336664,
              "maxDrawdown": 0.12499941412091048,
              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 6,
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              "totalReturn": -0.06666633359999996,
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              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
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              "nRoundTrips": 5,
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              "winRate": 0,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
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              "nRoundTrips": 3,
              "nTrades": 7,
              "openAtEnd": true,
              "totalReturn": -0.06666633369999997,
              "winRate": 0.6666666666666666,
              "winRateNote": "only 3 round trips — win rate is statistically weak evidence"
            },
            "params": {
              "momentumLookback": 28,
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              "volWindow": 30,
              "zEntry": 0.5,
              "zWindow": 30
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        ],
        "splitIndex": 256
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  },
  "predicateType": "https://szl.holdings/quant/backtest/v1",
  "subject": [
    {
      "digest": {
        "sha256": "d3d9621acce24dfe2768d60b5a09fa5580943f6c8ab6efe8ff980a199be1011c"
      },
      "name": "szl-quant/backtest/BONK/365d"
    }
  ]
}
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